Posted November. 04, 2002 22:55,
▽The Democratic Party secures the Senate and the Republican Party secures the House=It is the repeat of the current situation and it is most feasible practically. The close contesting electoral districts are around 6 such as South Dakota, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas, and Colorado. Although the anemoscope of the Senate will be shifted with the results of those districts, but it is the analysis of the American media and experts that the Democratic Party is little bit more favorable. In the House, the Republican Party has a bigger chance of winning.
▽ The Democratic Party secures the House and the Republican Party secures the Senate=It is the case that both parties switching the majority role in the Senate and the House, and it is similar to the present condition in terms of dividing the Congress evenly.
However, since the Democratic Party gives out the majority role of the Senate, which has the right to ratify treaties and high ranking federal positions, their checking power against the Bush Administration might be weakened than the present.
▽A complete victory by the Republican Party=It is the scenario that the Republican Party takes back the Senate and secure its majority role in the House, so it grasp the Congress completely. The present distribution of the seats is, in the Senate △Republicans 49, △Democrats 49, △Independence 1, and △Empty 1, and in the House △Republicans 222, △Democrats 208, △Independence 2, and △Empty 3.
In order for the Republican Party to win the Senate, which both parties divide equally, it must take at least one more seat than the Democratic Party.
In the House, it needs 218 seats out of 435 seats.
The Republican Party at the launching of the George W. Bush Administration, it enjoyed the role of the majority by securing the House and divided the Senate 50/50, and exercising the `Casting Vote` by the Vice President Dick Cheney, who was also the Speaker of the Senate.
However, the Senator James Jeffords withdrew from the Party on May last year and became independence, it passed the majority role to the Democratic Party. The reason why they have same number of seats in the Senate is because the Senator Paul Welstern (Democrat) died in a plane crash at the end of last year.