Posted March. 22, 2008 07:51,
Koreas per capita GNI surpassed $20,000 for the first time in 2007. 12 years have passed since the nations per capita income exceeded $10,000 back in 1995, when it reached $11,432.
However, some economists predict that it will not be easy for the nations per capita income to remain at the same level this year due to the Korean currencys depreciation and declining economic conditions at home and abroad.
The data released by the Bank of Korea yesterday showed that the countrys gross nation per capita GNI (gross national income) reached $20,045 (nominal amount of 18,626,000 won) and that GDP increased 5 percent in 2007.
GNI refers to a country`s gross national income at home and abroad each year and GDP reflects the total value of goods and service produced within the nation over a year.
The central bank said that the nations per capita GNI increased 8.9 percent in 2007, up from $18,401 in 2006. Korea`s real GDP growth rate reached 5 percent, exceeding the banks estimated growth rate of 4.5 percent. However, real GNI, a yardstick representing peoples purchasing power, increased a mere 3.9 percent. The large gap between real GNI (in won) and per capita income (in dollar) was a result of two factors: first, the won-dollar exchange rate has fluctuated sharply; and second, prices of imported goods, including raw materials, have significantly outpaced the price rise of Koreas exports.
Choi Chun-shin, the director of the Economic Statistics Bureau of the BOK, said, Koreas GDP grew faster than expected last year because exports increased 12 percent from a year ago. Exports contribution to the nations GDP reached 26.7 percent in 2007, up from 25.9 percent in 2006.
A strong won certainly helped per capita income exceed the $20,000 mark. In 2007, the countrys per capita income jumped 5.9 percent from a year ago to reach 18,626,000 won. However, it increases a good 8.9 percent when it is calculated in dollars. The gap is due to the average won-dollar exchange rate increasing 2.8 percent year-on-year.
However, the current won-dollar exchange rate will become an obstacle for the country to achieve the $20,000 per capital income this year. The won-dollar exchange rate closed at 1,006.56 won yesterday, surging far past last years average exchange rate of 929.20 won. The wons weakness against the dollar causes per capita income to fall.
Kwon Seon-wu, senior researcher at the Samsung Economic Research Center, said, Given recent economic conditions including the current account deficit, this years foreign exchange rate is unlikely to grow faster than last year.
Moreover, Koreas real GDP is also likely to increase faster than the year before, given the U.S. economic slowdown and the rise in oil and raw material prices. Central bank governor Lee Seong-tae announced that the nations real GDP growth rate could be lower than the 4.6 percent estimated by the bank.