[Baseball] Can Korea reach the semi's?

The Korean baseball team may have defeated the Netherlands today, but its chance of reaching the semi-finals is still low. The U.S. team confirmed its berth in the semi-finals by winning all 4 of its games. Cuba, after winning 1-0 today against Australia, is in a strong position to reach the semis with a record of 4 wins and 1 loss, while Japan, with a record of 3 wins/1 loss, is also expected to join. Korea, the Netherlands and Australia, with records of 2 wins/ 1 loss, are competing for the sole remaining berth. The main question is who will first get 4 wins.

When the team schedules are taken into account, the Netherlands is in the most favorable situation, as it has 2 remaining games with Italy and South Africa, both relatively weak teams. Hence, Korea has no option but to win its next 2 games against Japan (23rd) and South Africa (24th). If Korea and the Netherlands tie with 4 wins each, adhering to the principle of winner advances, Korea will be able to reach the semis. However, if Australia gets a record of 4 wins/ 3 losses in its final 2 games against the U.S. and Italy, the problem grows more complicated. This is because competition between the 3 teams has been stiff. If all 3 teams get 4 wins, then a decision will be made according to the lowest number of runs given, earned runs and team batting average, and if all else fails, a coin toss.